Election Predictions based on mathematics, data, and current events.

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Roughsoul1991

Roughsoul1991

Senior Member
#1
Sep 17, 2016
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#1
Godsmile

Godsmile

Member
#2
May 29, 2020
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#2
Thank you for the reminder of how important our belief is and to stay strong in our faith in this time stand and be strong . And may God Bless us everyone.
 
Dude653

Dude653

Senior Member
#3
Mar 19, 2011
13,021
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Just like last election I have no intention of voting for either candidate. But I do expect Trump to win again
 
Roughsoul1991

Roughsoul1991

Senior Member
#4
Sep 17, 2016
8,888
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#4
Dude653 said:
Just like last election I have no intention of voting for either candidate. But I do expect Trump to win again
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Well it is true that only about 20% of the nation votes on matters that effect the 70%.
 
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soggykitten

Well-known member
#6
Jul 3, 2020
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Roughsoul1991 said:
Still a few months away but it seems all the nonsense isn't sitting well with the American people. Of course this all counts on a fair election.

I'll also add another predicted mathematical model.
https://news.stonybrook.edu/faculty...elmut-norpoth-predicts-another-win-for-trump/

https://townhall.com/columnists/wayneallynroot/2020/08/23/signs-of-a-coming-trump-victory-n2574809
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You lost me at, Mathematics.
:LOL:

From the Stony Brook link, In 2020, his model once again projects a Trump victory, giving the incumbent President a 90-percent chance of being re-elected in a landslide — a controversial call that runs contrary to current polls.

Maybe the reason the Dem's are running two unqualified people on the Presidential ticket is to insure no one can really doubt Trump wins. Because when, yes, when ;) , Trump wins who would doubt it being Biden is clearly mentally unsound and only getting worse, and supposedly Kamala Harris isn't qualified under the Constitution to even run as VP. Much less serve as President in Biden's stead.

It could all be a, jokes on us, type deal. Trump keeps tweeting a single tweet and has for months. "Law and Order". He used that phrase a lot in his first campaign. Now he's doing it again.

Think about it. If you want to change the political landscape of a nation, this one, you need three things to work in concert. The President who would be in charge of the new ideal, the law makers that would bring order to the new ideal, and the supreme court that would uphold on the basis of law, the new ideal. And the supreme court of late and since about five years ago sure hasn't held to what are traditional American values.
 
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soggykitten

Well-known member
#7
Jul 3, 2020
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Just to put it out there.

To this day I think we're being told HRC won the popular vote in 2016 just so the Democrats wouldn't think they suffered an across the board beating. Because the popular vote doesn't elect a President so what's the harm of throwing HRC and her supporters a bone?
 
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soggykitten

Well-known member
#8
Jul 3, 2020
2,322
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#8

Just for our information asap as it broadcasts live. I made a thread for this but it may not be approved in time to catch the whole day 3 coverage. For those who are interested. It's far better than the DNC let me tell ya. ;) Well done Melania. Well done. She speaks something like five or more languages? I speak only two. English and bad English.

 
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acts5_29

Active member
#9
Apr 17, 2020
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New stat that came out today:. 93% of Belarusians want nothing to do with Russia. You can read the international news practically anywhere and read about their present pro-democracy protests.

Why "pro-democracy", when they just elected their President? Because Lukashenko--the guy they just "re-elected" for President with a landslide 80% of the vote--is pro-Moscow. In a country where 93% of the people are ANTI-Moscow (?#@!??).

Now, if that can happen in a country even when it's that abundantly obvious, imagine what could happen/has happened in another certain Russian puppet country, where the Russian puppet President garners over a third of the population's support.

Hammer and sickle, anyone?
 
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soggykitten

Well-known member
#10
Jul 3, 2020
2,322
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#10
acts5_29 said:
New stat that came out today:. 93% of Belarusians want nothing to do with Russia. You can read the international news practically anywhere and read about their present pro-democracy protests.

Why "pro-democracy", when they just elected their President? Because Lukashenko--the guy they just "re-elected" for President with a landslide 80% of the vote--is pro-Moscow. In a country where 93% of the people are ANTI-Moscow (?#@!??).

Now, if that can happen in a country even when it's that abundantly obvious, imagine what could happen/has happened in another certain Russian puppet country, where the Russian puppet President garners over a third of the population's support.

Hammer and sickle, anyone?
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I am so grateful I live in America and not in either one of those two countries where a Russian puppet President is empowered.
GOD BLESS AMERICA! And God Bless President Donald Trump, his family, and Vice President Pence and his family.
 
Socreta93

Socreta93

Senior Member
#12
Jul 28, 2015
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Yeah would rather vote with my conscious. Would rather vote for someone I like than to vote for someone I don't like just to see someone else I don't like lose. I wish many have an open mind and stop party tribalism or the "lesser of two evils" nonsense.
 
Roughsoul1991

Roughsoul1991

Senior Member
#13
Sep 17, 2016
8,888
4,539
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#13
Socreta93 said:
Yeah would rather vote with my conscious. Would rather vote for someone I like than to vote for someone I don't like just to see someone else I don't like lose. I wish many have an open mind and stop party tribalism or the "lesser of two evils" nonsense.
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All I see is good vs evil.
 
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Godsgirl83

Guest
#14
#14
just finished listening to Biden live (from a church ) in Kenosha.......
and yes, he made it into a political campaign.....
"I promise you, if I'm elected President....."
 
Roughsoul1991

Roughsoul1991

Senior Member
#15
Sep 17, 2016
8,888
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#15
Godsgirl83 said:
just finished listening to Biden live (from a church ) in Kenosha.......
and yes, he made it into a political campaign.....
"I promise you, if I'm elected President....."
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Dang im sorry you sat through that torture lol
 
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Godsgirl83

Guest
#16
#16
Roughsoul1991 said:
Dang im sorry you sat through that torture lol
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yeah, I asked myself what I had to done to put myself through such punishment and torture.........
But WI is near and dear to me, sooooooo....................
 
Roughsoul1991

Roughsoul1991

Senior Member
#17
Sep 17, 2016
8,888
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113
#17
Godsgirl83 said:
yeah, I asked myself what I had to done to put myself through such punishment and torture.........
But WI is near and dear to me, sooooooo....................
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I completely understand.
 
ZNP

ZNP

Well-known member
#19
Sep 14, 2020
37,491
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#19
One of the problems with the polls is that not every vote is worth the same with regards to electoral college votes. California and NY are two of the states where each individual vote has the smallest impact on the electoral college whereas Wyoming, North Dakota and South Dakota have the most. I wonder if the pollsters are taking this into account? Also, I heard one of these guys talking about the polls saying that people who vote for Trump are less likely to respond to the poll than those who are not. How do you adjust for that?
 
Roughsoul1991

Roughsoul1991

Senior Member
#20
Sep 17, 2016
8,888
4,539
113
#20
ZNP said:
One of the problems with the polls is that not every vote is worth the same with regards to electoral college votes. California and NY are two of the states where each individual vote has the smallest impact on the electoral college whereas Wyoming, North Dakota and South Dakota have the most. I wonder if the pollsters are taking this into account? Also, I heard one of these guys talking about the polls saying that people who vote for Trump are less likely to respond to the poll than those who are not. How do you adjust for that?
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Honestly, polls should never be done quickly and political polls are done sometimes only within days or weeks. You have to account for every variable, have enough people to participate. Then they must also be truthful. They also can not account for how many never voters will vote for the first time.

So as always polls especially political polls should be taken with a grain of salt. Especially if the reader isn't willing to study how the poll was conducted.
 
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