https://rumble.com/v70lhbi-steve-co...etting-on-gold-crypto-a.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp_a
STEVE CORTES: In An Inflationary World, The Rich Are Betting On Gold, Crypto, And Land. Limited-Supply Assets Always Win When Debt And Inflation Rise, But That Comes At The Expense Of Workers And Middle-Class Prosperity
The first half of this is short and concise explanation (first 9 minutes) of what has to be done to avert the collapse of the US dollar. This is not simply Steve Cortes who has been saying this for over a year but also the Economist has also published this in the latest issue.
So there are five possible ways that the debt crisis will be resolved.
1. Cut government spending.
2. Increase growth.
3. Massive tax increase.
4. Default
5. Inflation.
So we have seen that Trump, using DOGE, has looked to cut government spending and then to help him the government shutdown has allowed him to do even more cuts.
Second there are signs that we are seeing an increase in growth, that is not out of the question.
Third, Trump has employed massive tax increases with his tariffs. He does not have the ability to do other tax increases without congress passing it. Granted, he has backed off on many of the threatened tariffs but that was only after signing trade deals which are increasing growth.
But here is the problem, even after DOGE we still have a significant deficit and all the savings are being swallowed up by our having to help fight wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. Second, with all the DOGE cuts it is hard to have growth in the economy. Third, the growth we are seeing is due to AI, robots and other technological advances that are not being accompanied with jobs, so although we might see growth in the economy we may also see growth in the people needing to be on government assistance. Also the number of countries willing to buy US bonds is dwindling while the number of countries dumping US bonds is growing. As a result we have to pay higher and higher premiums on our debt. Not only so but the bonds we are selling are short term. If all the bonds we sell are two years or less we will have to roll over 50% of our $37 trillion debt each year. We can't do that, hence the crisis.
So the goal that might be realistic is that we "tread water". If we can simply eliminate the deficit, even if we don't reduce the overall debt inflation will slowly eat away at it. The problem with this approach is that the US is not the only country suffering. If other countries declare bankruptcy it puts more and more pressure on the US. Also with the threat of war we need to spend more, not cut our budget.
This is why gold and silver and real estate are going up, the elites are placing their bets that the solution to the debt crisis will be #5, hyper inflation. No one expects the US congress to pass an austerity budget, so real, serious, deep cuts to our budget are simply not realistic. Also, the things we pretty much have to spend money on (servicing the debt, paying social security, and national defense) make it impossible for us to have no deficit. Those three things alone eat up 100% of our tax revenue. You would have to cut the rest of the federal government, which in turn would almost certainly cause our tax revenue to decline significantly.
Growth is certainly not out of the question, but all the investment that is coming will generally see tax exemptions and write offs to encourage the investment and most of this investment is going to AI and other industries that are predicting a negative impact on jobs. In other words this growth may not result in any additional tax revenue for the next few years. Nor are we likely to see tax increases. The tariffs are a tax increase and they have brought in some additional tax revenue, however, most countries are negotiating new trade deals which will eliminate the tax increase from tariffs but which will help with growth. However, our biggest trading partner is not negotiating, we have a trade war with them and that will certainly have a negative impact on GDP and total tax revenue.
Once again we are left with two very hard choices. Default would almost certainly result in many politicians being voted out of office, so that is not likely. The easiest option for politicians is inflation, that will destroy the US dollar, bankrupt American citizens, but it is the easiest option for politicians so that is the most likely outcome. Hence gold and silver are going to rise.
Know this, if the world moves to a gold backed reserve currency the price of gold will rise by a factor of five to eight ($20,000 to $30,000 an ounce). Also the ratio of the price of gold to silver will drop from 80:1 to 30:1, maybe even as low as 10:1. Silver could go from $50 an ounce to $1,000 an ounce. During this transition banks will be desperate to get silver and gold and will also be desperate to get rid of foreclosures which will pile up. $10k worth of silver today could be traded in at the peak for a house which today is valued at $500k. But understand this, the bankruptcies and the collapse of the US economy will be every bit as bad as it was during the Great depression, if not worse.