Looks like a Red Wave
If you look at the major issues in this coming election it is very clear that there is going to be a huge red wave.
1. The single biggest issue is inflation, it is huge for Republicans, it is huge for independents and it is also a major issue for 13% of Democrats. It is very reasonable to think that anyone who considers this a big issue will vote out the incumbent and most likely replace them with a MAGA or Republican. But this issue affects the retired people, the poor and also blue collar more than anyone.
2. Immigration is a big issue for only 1% of Democrats, so you won't see many of them flip over this issue, but it is a big issue for 8% of independents and 22% of Republicans. But here is the thing, where are these people located? The border with Mexico. That is where several very important states are located and although nationally it isn't big, it is certainly very significant in certain races for congress, senate and governor. This affects everyone in these border states and many of those were democrats even if they weren't registered.
3. Crime is a primary issue for 5% of the country, but where is this the major issue? Almost always in Democrat run cities in the blue states. This can have a major impact in flipping blue states like NY. So you can see some really big surprises coming in places that were considered Democratic strongholds.
4. Abortion is a primary issue for 22% of the country. However, 10% of Registered Republicans see this as a major issue, hence they are probably pro life. So it is not reasonable to think that 22% of the country sees Abortion as the primary issue because they are pro choice, on the contrary it is probably 14% that are pro choice and see it as the major issue and 8% who are pro life and see it as a major issue. Also, it is very unlikely that this will cause anyone to flip from one side to the other. Unlike Crime, immigration or Inflation which will almost certainly cause many defections from the democrats.
5. Likewise, healthcare is a primary issue for 13% of the country. But what does that mean? I can hardly think that everyone who felt that Biden would be the best one to deal with the Pandemic still feel that way. I just do not see how this will cause anyone to move their vote to the Democrats. On the contrary I can see some who may have voted for Biden thinking he would be best for healthcare now thinking that was a mistake. This term is too general, are you concerned about healthcare because you are about to lose your job? Well then you would vote out the Democrats. Are you concerned about healthcare because with inflation you can no longer afford your prescriptions? Well then you would vote out the democrats. Are you concerned about health care because you have learned things about the vaccine that make you realize you were lied to? Well then you would vote out the Democrats. It seems to me the top issues for Democrats indicate they will lose something like 20% of their votes, either they will flip or they won't show up to vote.
6. But there is another issue which is not showing up and that is education. If you have a child in elementary school or JHS in one of these cities that have exposed the pornography in the curriculum this is probably a big issue. However, that is a very small portion of the population. But it does represent the base of the democrats.
Conclusion
I don't see any issues that will peel away votes from Republicans, but I can see Democrats losing 20% of their votes and maybe a fourth of those votes or more will flip to Republicans.
Now if we also figure that with all the volunteers who will be watching and supervising these elections preventing and/or reporting fraud so that the election cannot be stolen, it looks like the results will be epic.