A review of the current situation as of April 21, 2024
1. The US congress has passed major financing for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan as of yesterday.
2. The Israeli war cabinet is meeting today as a result.
3. We have reports that Israel has made repeated strikes in Iran, Iraq and Syria taking out the anti aircraft capability of Iran. They have done this without losing any planes or drones. As a result Israel rules the skies in the MidEast.
4. When Iran fired 300 missiles at Israel all but 7 were shot down. No matter how you look at it 293 out of 300 kills is really good. Yes, it is very costly for Israel to shoot down drones that cost less than $100,000 with missiles that cost more than $1 million. However, Israel has evened the score by taking out numerous anti aircraft batteries and military leaders.
5. Israel is posing a very big threat that if Iran strikes them again they will come in and take out a nuclear facility. The fact that they were able to take out the antiaircraft guarding these sites is a powerful warning that Iran cannot defend them.
6. Russia, China and Iran are not about to back down or submit to the US, Israel or Taiwan. Therefore this is going to escalate. If Iran does not fight back Israel will be free to enter Rafa and completely annihilate Hamas. Hezbollah and Yemen would see this, so Iran has no choice if it wants to keep its proxies fighting but to escalate this war. Passover will be the best time for a counterstrike and the counterstrike needs to be powerful enough to keep Israel from being able to retaliate by taking out a nuclear facility.